Commodity Research

Currency

Markets have become very dynamic and react proactively to any expected events in the underlying asset, cross commodities & currency. There is no way that we can now read the underlying asset in isolation.

With Currencies having become an asset in itself and tagged volatile, TransGraph has set up a dedicated research desk tracking leading currency pairs which are price drivers for commodities.

We have clients using the service to address buying and hedge requirements by way of import obligations, clearing external commercial borrowings, exchanging export receivables, buyers credit etc.

We are currently tracking the Dollar Index, USD-INR, USD- Euro and USD-Yen pairs.




Reports

Daily Currency Price Outlook & Strategy
Monthly Currency Special Report
Bi-Weekly Currency Elliott Wave Analyser

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Testimonials

“ I am writing to extend my thanks for the research and price forecasting services provided to us on a daily basis by Transgraph. The reports and information whether they are emailed to us daily or sourced via your website portal, are a consistent and reliable source of quality information. Our industry is one where information and its dissemination can help in differentiating between suppliers."

- Scott Yarwood, Sr. Regional Sales Manager, ADM Trading (UK) Ltd.



“ This is to state our appreciation for Transgraph for continuously delivering on its mandate to provide updated and insightful consulting services in the area of commodities and ingredients. I would also like to thank your team that is always in touch with buyers and feeds in relevant information that has been many times useful in decision making. In nutshell, the engagement with Transgraph has been enriching."

- V. Sridhar, Sector Manager, Commodities & Ingredients, Cadbury India Ltd.



“ By helping simulate the risk scenarios beforehand, TransRisk has added immense value to our trading decision making process at the operating level. The scenarios are comprehensive because one is able to view the basis and rollover risks associated with the hedged positions too. TransRisk also serves as good Dashboard for the top management, as it gives exposures, P&L, associated risk, limits all at one place.”

- S Sivakumar, CEO, Agri Business, ITC Limited



“ At risk framework and imputed risk model of TransRisk are definitely forward looking and will enable us to move away from ‘post mortem’ approach. We can take a business decision of pricing our contracts or purchasing in advance after factoring in a quantifiable and acceptable risk instead of trying to find reasons for the breach of limits."
"A flexible and scalable business intelligence that gives exposures, P&L, associated risk, limits all at one place and this decision support system can be integrated with our existing ERP and will avoid duplication of data entry.”

- Jude Magima, ED – Sourcing and Supply Chain, Dabur India Limited



“ Transgraph has showcased that ‘Risk Management’ is an excellent tool which will help any sourcing organization to deliver in any and even during challenging business scenario. They have succeeded in creating a deeper, specific and relevant input to the automotive sector. Highly recommended, the course was extremely detailed but the faculty made it so easy to understand - Top marks.”

- S.R. Rajan, Vice President-Commercial, TVS Srichakra Limited.

Features

Features Daily Price Outlook & Strategy Weekly Price Outlook & Strategy Weekly Elliott wave analyser Monthly Long term outlook
Coverage USD - INR / EUR - USD USD - INR / EUR - USD USD - INR / EUR - USD USD - INR / EUR - USD
Fundamental summary Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index NA Forex Reserves, Balance of payments, Balance sheet, USD and EURO outlook
Technical summary Technical analysis summary Technical analysis summary Elliott wave analyser summary Technical Outlook
Price Direction USD - INR / EUR - USD spot markets: Price Direction Forecast USD - INR / EUR - USD spot markets: Price Direction Forecast Elliott wave degrees: Cycle, Primary, Intermediate, Minor waves Price direction: 2, 4 and 6 Weeks USD - INR / EUR - USD spot markets : Price Direction Forecast
Price range forecast Price Range: 5 day & 10 day forecast Price Range: 2 week, 1 & 2 months forecast Price Range: 2 week Price Range: 2 months forecast
Strategy review Review of previous strategy Review of previous strategy Not Applicable (NA) Not Applicable (NA)
Latest Strategy USD - INR / EUR - USD: Trading strategy USD - INR / EUR - USD spot markets: Generic procurement strategy USD - INR / EUR - USD : Directional strategy NA
Performance Audit USD - INR / EUR - USD spot markets Strike Rate; NP/GP ratio USD - INR / EUR - USD spot markets Strike Rate; % savings NA NA
Fundamental analysis Yester session market review Comprehensive fundamental analysis Global Economy analysis NA Indian Economic scenario-Manufacturing, services, Agri, money markets, BoP, Forex Reserves, FDI&FII, Global PMI, Global Interest Rates, GDP-USA, EURO, China, Global.
Technical outlook Detailed technical analysis and outlook on INR-USD / EUR-USD spot markets for short term Detailed technical analysis and outlook on USD - INR / EUR - USD spot markets for medium term USD - INR / EUR - USD spot elliott wave preferred count : Long term & Short term USD - INR / EUR - USD spot Elliott wave alternative count : Long term & Short term Elliott waves
Risk Parameters Volatility & VaR trends Volatility & VaR trends
Calendar Key Economic & Fundamental Data Key Economic & Fundamental Data NA NA
Mini Charts Various must track data trends Various must track data trends NA NA
Facts & Figures Most important market data Most important market data NA NA

Audit

Period Strike Rate % NP/GP % Procurement Savings %
2012 YTD 2007-12 YTD 2012 YTD 2007-12 YTD 2012 YTD 2007-12 YTD
Daily Currency Price Outlook & Strategy 83% 83% 51% 85% NA
Weekly Currency Price Outlook & Strategy NA NA 0.54 % 2.66%
YTD: Year Till Date
Strike Rate %: Daily: Percentage of number of strategies made profit. Weekly: Percentage of number of months bettered the market average
NP/GP %: {(Gross Profit - Gross Loss) / (Gross Profit)}X100
Procurement Savings %: {(Market average - TransGraph purchase price) / (Market average)}X100



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