Commodity Research

Mapping the Market Thought

picture Our research provides in-depth futures research, on-target price forecasts, expert analysis, insightful opinions and market commentary on the key factors, critical trends and relevant issues that can affect the price of commodities futures anywhere along the global supply chain. We help our clients with our tailor made market reports which would help in knowing:

   -   Factor analysis including labor strife, geo-politics, climate issues, trade policy and other market-moving events
   -   Historical and present-day context, to help manage price risk and make smarter trading and investing
   -   Supply and demand information from critical data feeds, publications and our personal industry contacts

TransGraph covers the vast array of commodities in agri and non-agri segments and has specialized expertise in:

   -   Oil & Oil Seeds : Palm Oil, Soy Oil, Rapeseed, Sunflower Oil and Lauric Oil
   -   Grains & Pulses : Wheat, Barley and Maize
   -   Softs & Plantations : Natural Rubber and Sugar
   -   Dairy & Dairy Products : Milk
   -   Horticulture : Mango
   -   Base & Ferrous Metals : Copper, Aluminum, Zinc, Lead and Steel
   -   Energy & Petro-chemicals : Crude Oil and Bio Diesel
   -   Polymers & Packaging Material : Polypropylene (PP), Polyethylene (PE), and Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET)
   -   Currency : Dollar Index, USD-INR, USD- Euro and USD-Yen pairs

Research Approach

Mapping the Market Thought is the unique approach adopted by TransGraph which is highly appreciated across the industry. Mapping the Market Thought is an integrated approach which involves Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis and Econometric Modeling

  • Fundamental Analysis is done by constructing the Supply and demand equation, for the current and future time periods.

  • Technical Analysis gives the price trends and gauging the crowd’s reaction to the changes in fundamental factors using various price-forecasting techniques

  • Econometric Modeling indexes the seasonality in production, consumption & prices and evaluating the similarities in historical price trends and projecting most likely statistical trend.

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    “ I am writing to extend my thanks for the research and price forecasting services provided to us on a daily basis by Transgraph. The reports and information whether they are emailed to us daily or sourced via your website portal, are a consistent and reliable source of quality information. Our industry is one where information and its dissemination can help in differentiating between suppliers."

    - Scott Yarwood, Sr. Regional Sales Manager, ADM Trading (UK) Ltd.

    “ This is to state our appreciation for Transgraph for continuously delivering on its mandate to provide updated and insightful consulting services in the area of commodities and ingredients. I would also like to thank your team that is always in touch with buyers and feeds in relevant information that has been many times useful in decision making. In nutshell, the engagement with Transgraph has been enriching."

    - V. Sridhar, Sector Manager, Commodities & Ingredients, Cadbury India Ltd.

    “ By helping simulate the risk scenarios beforehand, TransRisk has added immense value to our trading decision making process at the operating level. The scenarios are comprehensive because one is able to view the basis and rollover risks associated with the hedged positions too. TransRisk also serves as good Dashboard for the top management, as it gives exposures, P&L, associated risk, limits all at one place.”

    - S Sivakumar, CEO, Agri Business, ITC Limited

    “ At risk framework and imputed risk model of TransRisk are definitely forward looking and will enable us to move away from ‘post mortem’ approach. We can take a business decision of pricing our contracts or purchasing in advance after factoring in a quantifiable and acceptable risk instead of trying to find reasons for the breach of limits."
    "A flexible and scalable business intelligence that gives exposures, P&L, associated risk, limits all at one place and this decision support system can be integrated with our existing ERP and will avoid duplication of data entry.”

    - Jude Magima, ED – Sourcing and Supply Chain, Dabur India Limited

    “ Transgraph has showcased that ‘Risk Management’ is an excellent tool which will help any sourcing organization to deliver in any and even during challenging business scenario. They have succeeded in creating a deeper, specific and relevant input to the automotive sector. Highly recommended, the course was extremely detailed but the faculty made it so easy to understand - Top marks.”

    - S.R. Rajan, Vice President-Commercial, TVS Srichakra Limited.

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