Sugar & Natural Rubber
India being one of the top 3 sugar producing regions in the world along with Brazil
and China, we track this essential commodity. Based in the India geography which
is the major price driver in the sugar market both due to production vagaries and
government policy changes, we have a competitive edge while tracking the sugar market.
Our analysis cover the biggest players viz; Brazil, China, India and also monitor
the markets of Vietnam & Mauritius. We regularly deliver our research papers at
various industry forums like the Indian Sugar Summit etc.
Our experts continuously monitor developments in the industry, both the supply and
demand factors and legislative developments viz; quotas; licenses etc.
As a result we are considered the industry's benchmark for research and our clients
who are FMCG giants are a testimony to this fact.
Natural Rubber forms a vital input material for clients who are into automobile manufacturing; our reports are very useful for clients who are into physical procurement emphasizing the need to protect their bottom line. We address both buy side as well as sell side risk and assist our clients in using the financial markets to surpass the price risk arising from the volatile nature of the commodity.
Reports
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Features
Features | Daily Price Outlook & Strategy | Weekly Price Outlook & Strategy | Monthly Long term outlook | ||||||
Coverage | ICE Sugar Futures | Indian Sugar & Gur | TOCOM Rubber | NMCE Rubber | Indian Sugar & Sur | NR Cash Markets | Sugar Global Markets | NR Global Markets | |
Fundamental summary | Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index | Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index | Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index | Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index | Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index | Critical fundamental Factors; Fundamental outlook Index | Supply & Demand Forecasts; Inventory; Sentiment index; Currency impact; Recent developments | Supply & Demand Forecasts; Inventory; Sentiment index; Currency impact; Recent developments | |
Technical summary | Technical analysis summary Technical Outlook | Technical analysis summary Technical Outlook | Technical analysis summary Technical Outlook | Technical analysis summary Technical Outlook | Technical analysis summary | Technical analysis summary | Technical outlook | Technical outlook | |
Price Direction | ICE: Price Direction Forecast | NCDEX: Price Direction Forecast | TOCOM RSS3: Price Direction Forecast | NMCE RSS4: Price Direction Forecast |
Sugar : S‐30 Kolhapur & M-30 Muzzaffarnagar & Gur
Muzzaffarnagar: Price Direction Forecast |
RSS3 bangkok & RSS4 Kottayam- Price Direction Forecast |
S‐30 Kolhapur & M-30 Muzzaffarnagar & Gur
Muzzaffarnagar: Price Direction Forecast |
RSS3 bangkok & RSS4 Kottayam- Price Direction Forecast | |
Price range forecast | Price Range: 5 day & 10 day forecast | Price Range: 5 day & 10 day forecast | Price Range: 5 day & 10 day forecast | Price Range: 5 day & 10 day forecast | Price Range: 2 week, 1 & 2 months forecast | Price Range: 2 week, 1 & 2 months forecast | Price Range: 2 months forecast | Price Range: 2 months forecast | |
Strategy review | Review of previous strategy | Review of previous strategy | Review of previous strategy | Review of previous strategy | Review of previous strategy | Review of previous strategy | Not Applicable (NA) | Not Applicable (NA) | |
Latest Strategy | ICE: Trading strategy | NCDEX: Trading strategy | TOCOM RSS3: Trading strategy | NMCE RSS4: Trading strategy | Sugar : S‐30 Kolhapur & M-30 Muzzaffarnagar & Gur Muzzaffarnagar: Generic procurement strategy | RSS3 bangkok & RSS4 Kottayam:- Generic procurement strategy | NA | NA | |
Performance Audit |
ICE Strike Rate; NP/GP ratio |
NCDEX Strike Rate; NP/GP ratio |
TOCOM RSS3 Strike Rate; NP/GP ratio |
NMCE RSS4 Strike Rate; NP/GP ratio |
Sugar : S‐30 Kolhapur & M-30 Muzzaffarnagar & Gur
Muzzaffarnagar: Strike Rate; Procurement efficiency % savings |
RSS3 bangkok & RSS4 Kottayam : Strike Rate; Procurement efficiency % savings | NA | NA | |
Fundamental analysis | Yester session market review | Yester session market review | Yester session market review | Yester session market review |
Comprehensive fundamental analysis Global Economy analysis |
Comprehensive fundamental analysis Global Economy analysis |
supply & demand, Cane Price dynamics, implications in cost of production, crop status, important events that could affect the sugar prices, inventories, export parities | supply & demand, productive acreages, production & consumption scenario, crop acreages, important events that could affect the NR prices, inventories, weather | |
Technical outlook | Detailed technical analysis and outlook on ICE for short term | Detailed technical analysis and outlook on NCDEX for short term | Detailed technical analysis and outlook on TOCOM RSS3 for short term | Detailed technical analysis and outlook on NMCE RSS4 for short term | Detailed technical analysis and outlook on Sugar : S‐30 Kolhapur & M-30 Muzzaffarnagar & Gur Muzzaffarnagar for medium term | Detailed technical analysis and outlook on RSS3 bangkok & RSS4 Kottayam for medium term | Elliott waves | Elliott waves | |
Risk Parameters | Volatility & VaR trends | Volatility & VaR trends | |||||||
Calendar | Key Economic & Fundamental Data | Key Economic & Fundamental Data | Key Economic & Fundamental Data | Key Economic & Fundamental Data | Key Economic & Fundamental Data | Key Economic & Fundamental Data | NA | NA | |
Mini Charts | Various must track data trends | Various must track data trends | Various must track data trends | Various must track data trends | Various must track data trends | Various must track data trends | NA | NA | |
Facts & Figures | Most important market data | Most important market data | Most important market data | Most important market data | Most important market data | Most important market data | NA | NA |
Audit
Period | Strike Rate % | NP/GP % | Procurement Savings % | |||||
2012 YTD | 2007-12 YTD | 2012 YTD | 2007-12 YTD | 2012 YTD | 2007-12 YTD | |||
Daily ICE Sugar Price Outlook & Strategy | 68% | 67% | 72% | 55% | NA | |||
Daily Indian Sugar and Gur Price Outlook & Strategy | 79% | 69% | 91% | 68% | NA | |||
Weekly Indian Sugar and Gur Price Outlook & Strategy | 73% | 54% | NA | 3.72% | 1.8% | |||
Daily NMCE Natural Rubber Price Outlook & Strategy | 76% | 71% | 55% | 79% | NA | |||
Daily TOCOM Natural Rubber Price Outlook & Strategy | 57% | 68% | 47% | 73% | NA | |||
Weekly Natural Rubber Price Outlook & Strategy | 71% | 66% | NA | 7.62% | 6.09% | |||
YTD: Year Till Date
Strike Rate %: Daily: Percentage of number of strategies made profit. Weekly: Percentage of number of months bettered the market average NP/GP %: {(Gross Profit - Gross Loss) / (Gross Profit)}X100 Procurement Savings %: {(Market average - TransGraph purchase price) / (Market average)}X100 |
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Testimonials
“ I am writing to extend my thanks for the research and price forecasting services provided to us on a daily basis by Transgraph. The reports and information whether they are emailed to us daily or sourced via your website portal, are a consistent and reliable source of quality information. Our industry is one where information and its dissemination can help in differentiating between suppliers."
- Scott Yarwood, Sr. Regional Sales Manager, ADM Trading (UK) Ltd.
“ This is to state our appreciation for Transgraph for continuously delivering on its mandate to provide updated and insightful consulting services in the area of commodities and ingredients. I would also like to thank your team that is always in touch with buyers and feeds in relevant information that has been many times useful in decision making. In nutshell, the engagement with Transgraph has been enriching."
- V. Sridhar, Sector Manager, Commodities & Ingredients, Cadbury India Ltd.
“ By helping simulate the risk scenarios beforehand, TransRisk has added immense value to our trading decision making process at the operating level. The scenarios are comprehensive because one is able to view the basis and rollover risks associated with the hedged positions too. TransRisk also serves as good Dashboard for the top management, as it gives exposures, P&L, associated risk, limits all at one place.”
- S Sivakumar, CEO, Agri Business, ITC Limited
“ At risk framework and imputed risk model of TransRisk are definitely forward looking
and will enable us to move away from ‘post mortem’ approach. We can
take a business decision of pricing our contracts or purchasing in advance after
factoring in a quantifiable and acceptable risk instead of trying to find reasons
for the breach of limits."
"A flexible and scalable business intelligence that gives exposures, P&L,
associated risk, limits all at one place and this decision support system can be
integrated with our existing ERP and will avoid duplication of data entry.”
- Jude Magima, ED – Sourcing and Supply Chain, Dabur India Limited
“ Transgraph has showcased that ‘Risk Management’ is an excellent tool which will help any sourcing organization to deliver in any and even during challenging business scenario. They have succeeded in creating a deeper, specific and relevant input to the automotive sector. Highly recommended, the course was extremely detailed but the faculty made it so easy to understand - Top marks.”
- S.R. Rajan, Vice President-Commercial, TVS Srichakra Limited.