 Price movements
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The price movements in the market, some times, are puzzling and it is difficult to ascertain
the reasons behind such movements. It’s mainly because prices do not move based on the fundamental
news but based on the perceptions and reactions of the market players (crowd’s reaction) to these
fundamental factors.
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Price forecasting
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It is very important to track the existing and future supply & demand scenario and also monitor
the perception of market players to the established fundamental equation. A quantifiable mechanism
to assess the impact of the sentiment of the market players on the prices should also be in place.
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Bulls and Bears are humans. This human reaction justifies the impact of the price drivers that
results into price actions.
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Our Approach towards forecasting
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Over the years, we have adopted various techniques and found that standalone forecasting techniques
would not yield reliable results. Therefore an integrated approach is necessary for forecasting the
prices. “Mapping the market thought”, our unique approach for forecasting the commodity
prices is the prime reason for several applauds we received from industry on our decision enabling
price forecasting.
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It involves employing
Fundamental analysis – Constructing the Supply and demand equation, for the current and future time periods.
Technical analysis – Analyzing the price trends and gauging the crowd’s reaction to the changes in fundamental
factors using various price-forecasting techniques.
Econometric modeling – Indexing the seasonality in production, consumption & prices and evaluating the
similarities in historical price trends and projecting most likely statistical trend.
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We have earned decent accuracy in forecasting the price trends during the last five years. Our accuracy falls
in the category of 75-85% success. Our human resources are highly capable in meeting the clients’ knowledge
thrust and efficiency in maintaining the cutting edge success rate in price forecasting.
You may wish to take a free trial to witness the quality of the service and our competency in “Trade consultancy”.
Click here to register yourself for free trial.
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Prologue