Price movements
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The price movements in the market, some times, are puzzling and it is difficult
to ascertain the reasons behind such movements. It’s mainly because prices do not
move based on the fundamental news but based on the perceptions and reactions of
the market players (crowd’s reaction) to these fundamental factors.
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Price forecasting
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It is very important to track the existing and future supply & demand scenario
and also monitor the perception of market players to the established fundamental
equation. A quantifiable mechanism to assess the impact of the sentiment of the
market players on the prices should also be in place.
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Bulls and Bears are humans. This
human reaction justifies the impact of the price drivers that results into price
actions.
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Our Approach towards forecasting
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Over the years, we have adopted various techniques and found that standalone forecasting
techniques would not yield reliable results. Therefore an integrated approach is
necessary for forecasting the prices. “Mapping the market thought”, our unique
approach for forecasting the commodity prices is the prime reason for several applauds
we received from industry on our decision enabling price forecasting.
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It involves employing
Fundamental analysis – Constructing the Supply and
demand equation, for the current and future time periods.
Technical analysis – Analyzing the price trends and
gauging the crowd’s reaction to the changes in fundamental factors using various
price-forecasting techniques.
Econometric modeling – Indexing the seasonality in
production, consumption & prices and evaluating the similarities in historical
price trends and projecting most likely statistical trend.
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We have earned decent accuracy in forecasting the price trends during the last five
years. Our accuracy falls in the category of 75-85% success. Our human resources
are highly capable in meeting the clients’ knowledge thrust and efficiency in maintaining
the cutting edge success rate in price forecasting.
You may wish to take a free trial to witness the quality of the service and our
competency in “Price Consulting”.
Click here to register yourself for
free trial.
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Prologue
